Recent lbnl_et_eaei items

Interconnection Timelines and Costs for Distributed Energy Projects in the United States (2000-2025)

Fri, 4 Sep 2026 00:00:00 +0000

These slides summarize and explain empirical data on interconnection timelines and costs for distributed energy projects connected to U.S. utility distribution systems. The study explores how interconnection metrics vary across states, project sizes, technology types, and over time to indicate progress toward simple, fast, and affordable interconnection. Data encompasses 188 utilities in 24 states. Project types include biomass/biofuels, coal, hydropower, natural gas/oil, solar, storage, wind, hybrid, and

A model for selecting the best sustainable airport technology alternatives

Tue, 1 Sep 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Air transport is a continually expanding industry, a fact that has become even more evident with the recovery of the aviation industry post-COVID-19. This expansion amplified energy consumption at airports, which was already significantly high. Airport decision-makers are increasingly focusing on improving sustainability and addressing social, economic, and environmental criteria across airports worldwide. In this article, we propose a decision-making model for identifying a sustainable airport technology solution that minimizes the energy consumption of airport lighting while considering economic, emission, and life-cycle criteria. The proposed model combines data envelopment analysis and multi-criteria decision making techniques. We applied the model to the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW) as a case study, considering eight lighting technology solutions, each with five luminous flux alternatives. Our model identified the best lighting technology solution for DFW...

Optimized mechano-fluidic metamaterials inspired by deep-sea sponges

Mon, 31 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Multifunctional materials that balance mechanical resilience and fluid dynamic efficiency are critical in engineering applications, yet their synergistic optimization remains challenging due to inherent trade-offs, computational expense, and high-dimensional design spaces. Inspired by the skeleton of the deep-sea sponge Euplectella aspergillum, this work presents an automated framework integrating Finite Element Analysis for mechanics, Computational Fluid Dynamics for flow behavior, and multi-objective Bayesian optimization. Leveraging high-performance computing, the framework efficiently explores complex design spaces to identify Pareto-optimal solutions. Optimized lattices achieve an average 140% increase in critical buckling load across a range of volume fractions relative to baseline designs, while simultaneously reducing drag, lift, and vortex shedding at porosities as low as 5%. We fabricate selected designs via stereolithography and validate them through compression experiments...

The Potential and Cost of Carbon Dioxide Removal Using Direct Air Capture with Land-Based Wind and Utility-Scale Photovoltaics

Mon, 31 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

The rapid deployment of direct air capture and storage (DACS) is critical for achieving emission targets, necessitating precise evaluation of the scale and cost of carbon dioxide removal. This study examines the availability of land, electricity generation, and geologic CO₂ storage within the United States, estimating a technical potential for low-temperature, adsorbent-based DACS to remove approximately 9 gigatonnes of CO₂ annually. By 2050, a substantial portion of this removal could be achieved at net-removed costs below $300/tonneCO₂, though costs are highly variable depending on factors such as facility scale, construction expenses, climate-dependent productivity and heating efficiency, and geologic storage conditions. In the short term, DACS deployment will help identify key research priorities for advancing technology and reducing removal costs. Concurrently, there is an urgent need for scientifically robust and standardized frameworks for...

Hydrogen diffusion induced dislocation transformations in a nickel superalloy

Mon, 31 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

The diffusion of hydrogen in metals and alloys induces embrittlement that can adversely affect the structural properties. We examine the adsorption and diffusion of hydrogen in Inconel-718 (IN-718), and scrutinize the ensuing effects on the dislocation behavior in the alloy to elucidate the fundamental mechanisms of hydrogen-microstructure interactions from classical molecular simulations. Hydrogen adsorption increases with time until the surface saturates, while hydrogen diffusion exhibits strong temperature dependence, with diffusion coefficients converging above 1300 K regardless of the initial hydrogen concentration in the alloy. The diffusion in IN-718 is significantly sluggish than in pure Ni, Fe, or Cr, and is strongly impacted by hydrogen concentrations, resulting in an order of magnitude higher diffusion coefficient for hydrogen (10-14 m2/s relative to 10-15 m2/s) at high concentrations, especially below 600 K. Hydrogen diffusion coefficient varies from 10-12...

Source-Resolved Inversion of Elemental Carbon Emissions in California Using Log-Space Bayesian Inference

Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Elemental carbon (EC), operationally quantified by thermal-optical analysis, is widely used as a proxy for black carbon (BC) relevant to short-term climate forcing and public health. Current EC emission inventories remain highly uncertain, with persistent discrepancies between bottom-up and top-down estimates. In this study, we develop a source-resolved, log-space Bayesian inversion framework applied to estimate California’s statewide EC emissions in 2019. By integrating surface EC measurements from the EPA’s Air Quality System network with high-resolution source contributions simulated by a chemical transport model, we identify a one-third underestimation in the existing statewide EC inventory, requiring an increase of the total from a prior of 8.58 [5.49–13.75] Gg year–1 to a posterior estimate of 12.78 [10.71–15.37] Gg year–1. This discrepancy is primarily driven by substantial underestimations in the power and industrial and off-road mobile sectors. Furthermore, population-weighted...

Future Projections of Lifecycle Cost and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Light-Duty Vehicles

Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Vehicles with electrified powertrains carry the promise of significant reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from a lifecycle analysis (LCA) standpoint compared to conventional internal combustion engine (CICE) vehicles. However, trade-offs exist between different types of electrified powertrains in terms of cost, consumer acceptance, and GHG reduction efficacy for different operating conditions. The open-source tool CarGHG was developed with an aim to enable the exploration of a plethora of parametric study scenarios, including the cost of electrification technologies, different driving patterns and charging habits, and the cost and carbon intensity of electricity and fuel blends. This paper introduces the framework of CarGHG, then showcases total cost of ownership (TCO) and LCA GHG results for select models of light-duty vehicles. Another capability of CarGHG, which is the ability to estimate the performance of “virtual” vehicle models (perceived vehicle design specifications...

Empirically-calibrated H100 node power models for accurate AI training energy estimation

Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Accurately quantifying the energy use of artificial intelligence (AI) training is critical for infrastructure planning, carbon accounting, and sustainable data center operation, but few studies have directly measured the power consumption of production workloads on contemporary hardware. By combining empirical measurements from Brookhaven National Laboratory during AI training on 8-graphics-processing-unit H100 systems with open-source benchmarking data, we develop statistical models relating computational intensity to node-level power consumption. We measure the gap between manufacturer-rated thermal design power (TDP) and actual power demand during AI training. Our analysis reveals that even computationally intensive workloads operate at only 76% of the 10.2 kW TDP rating. Our architecture-specific model, calibrated to floating-point operations, predicts energy consumption with 11.4% mean absolute percentage error, significantly outperforming TDP-based approaches (27%–37% error)....

Corrigendum to “Cross-sectoral assessment of CO2 capture from U.S. industrial flue gases for fuels and chemicals manufacture” [International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 135 (2024) 1-20 / 104137]

Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

The authors regret the inaccuracy in the vertical axis title of Fig. 4 and the distortion in the legend of Fig. 13. Corrections have been made to the vertical axis title and legend of Figs. 4 and 13, respectively. These changes do not affect the analysis, calculations, or results in any way. The authors apologize for any inconvenience caused. The corrected figures are as follows:

Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Decarbonization Potential of Global Fired Clay Brick Production

Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Fired clay bricks (FCBs) are a dominant building material globally due to their low cost and simplicity of production, especially in low- and middle-income countries. With a projected rising housing demand, commensurate growth in brick demand is anticipated, the production of which could result in significant greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Robust models are needed to estimate brick demand and emissions to systematically address decarbonization pathways. Few sources report production values; hence, we present two novel proxy models: (i) a consumption prediction model, relying on country-specific clay extraction data, dynamic building stock modeling, and average material intensity use allowing for projections to 2050; and (ii) a GHG emissions model, using literature-based data and production technology-specific inputs. Based on these models, the current global FCB consumption is estimated as 2.18 Gt annually, resulting in approximately 500 million tCO₂e (1% of current...

Applying Gaussian Process Machine Learning and Modern Probabilistic Programming to Satellite Data to Infer CO2 Emissions

Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Satellite data provides essential insights into the spatiotemporal distribution of CO₂ concentrations. However, many atmospheric inverse models fail to adequately incorporate the spatial and temporal correlations inherent in satellite observations and often lack rigorous methods for estimating parameters like spatial length scales. We introduce an inference model that processes the spatiotemporal covariance in satellite data and estimates hyperparameters such as covariance length scales. Our approach uses the Gaussian process (GP) machine learning (ML) and modern probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) to perform atmospheric inversions of emissions from satellite data. We develop a GP ML inversion system based on modern PPLs and the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model, simulating atmospheric CO₂ concentrations corresponding to the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2/3 (OCO-2/3) data for July 2020. In our supervised learning framework, we treat the GEOS-Chem simulated...

Modeling Framework for the Assessment of a Sustainable Hydrogen Production and Supply Chain Network in California

Mon, 24 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

The cost-effective and sustainable deployment of hydrogen supply and demand networks, especially in large economic regions like California, can be challenging considering the spatial-temporal availability and variability of the different actors across the network such as production processes, distribution modes, and end-users. In this presentation, we will provide an overview and demonstration of a modeling framework used to assess the environmental, economic, and human health impacts of plausible hydrogen production and supply chain networks in California. Scenarios focus on green hydrogen production pathways using water electrolysis and biomass gasification. End-use applications included in the model are transit, medium and heavy-duty trucking, port authorities, and power and aviation companies that currently consume natural gas, diesel, and aviation fuel for their day-to-day operation. Representative locations for hydrogen production and end-use are based on recent projections...

The value of improving manure management

Mon, 24 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Manure management and land application can improve soil health and nutrient recycling but can also be a major source of air pollutant emissions and regional eutrophication. A high-resolution, regional framework can now facilitate assessment of current and future manure management policies in a representative livestock-dense region of Europe.

Refining seasonal performance metrics for room air-conditioning in emerging markets: Integrating building simulations with real-world equipment performance data

Mon, 24 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Buildings significantly impact worldwide energy consumption, emphasizing the need to reduce the cooling energy demand, especially in warm climates. Minimum energy performance standards (MEPS) and seasonal performance metrics such as the Cooling Seasonal Performance Factor (CSPF) are crucial for improving room air conditioning (RAC) efficiency. However, challenges remain, particularly in emerging markets like Brazil, where seasonal performance metrics have recently been introduced. This study assesses the factors influencing country-level seasonal efficiency metrics and proposes a framework to refine these calculations by considering local climates and expected RAC usage in real-world households via building simulations. Key considerations include outdoor air temperature binning for different climates, RAC usage patterns (i.e., daytime and nighttime usages), envelope thermal performance of households, and urban heat island (UHI) effects. The results reveal that CSPF values can...

Accelerating room air conditioner efficiency in India: Grid, economic, and policy implications through 2035

Mon, 24 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

India is poised for a rapid surge in space cooling demand, driven by rising incomes, urbanization, and intensifying heat. Between 2025 and 2035, the country is expected to add 130–150 million new room air conditioners (ACs). If Minimum Energy Performance Standards (MEPS) continue to improve at the historical rate of 2–3 % annually, room ACs alone could contribute over 180 GW to peak electricity demand by 2035-nearly 30 % of the projected national total. This study evaluates the impact of an accelerated MEPS trajectory, proposing to raise the 1-star threshold to ISEER 5.0 by 2027, ISEER 6.3 by 2030, and ISEER 7.4 by 2033. Drawing on engineering cost analysis, stock turnover modeling, and retail pricing data, we find that this pathway could reduce peak demand by over 60 GW, save 118 TWh of electricity annually, avoid 49 MtCO₂ of electricity-related emissions per year, avert ₹7.5 trillion (∼US$85 billion) in power system investments, and yield ₹0.7–2.3 trillion (∼US$8–26 billion)...

Ten questions concerning low-cost indoor air quality sensors: Perspectives from research and practice

Mon, 24 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Low-cost indoor air quality (IAQ) sensors are increasingly being used in homes and commercial and public buildings, driven by growing concerns about the impact of air on health, cognitive performance, and occupant wellbeing. These sensors offer a potentially transformative opportunity to increase spatial and temporal coverage of IAQ monitoring at a fraction of the cost of conventional reference instruments. However, their widespread use raises questions around accuracy, calibration, placement, data handling and interpretation, and integration into existing standards and workflows. This paper presents ten critical questions concerning the use of low-cost IAQ sensors in buildings, drawing on the latest empirical research, field deployments, and emerging practice. It discusses potential frameworks for deployment and evaluation, examines current sensor capabilities for measuring common pollutants, identifies methodological gaps in validation and uncertainty quantification, and outlines...

Functionalized benzylamines from commercial kraft lignin

Mon, 24 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Benzylamines are key intermediates in pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, and polymers, but their conventional production relies on benzyl chloride - a petroleum-derived compound with high toxicity and energy demands. Lignin, accounting for up to 30% of plant biomass, is the largest renewable source of aromatic carbon on Earth. However, its highly complex and recalcitrant structure poses a major barrier to efficient conversion into high-value chemicals. Here, we developed a catalytic approach to convert commercial kraft lignin into phenolic benzylamines through selective depolymerization and subsequent functionalization. We systematically evaluated the effects of three alcohol solvents, formic acid (FA), and a ruthenium-on‑carbon (Ru/C) catalyst on monophenol yield and selectivity. Up to 6.5 wt% monophenol yield was achieved using methanol (MeOH), FA, and Ru/C at 300 °C for 2 h. Quantum thermodynamic simulations based on the COSMO-RS model confirmed the superior solvation...

Tendencies of Soil Microbial NO Emissions During HI‐SCALE as Predicted by a Nitrification/Denitrification Scheme

Fri, 21 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000

Abstract Many atmospheric chemical processes, including the formation of secondary organic aerosol (SOA), are strongly modulated by the reactions of NO and . Though is controlled by anthropogenic emissions near urban areas, in rural areas soil microbes can be a significant contribution to NO emission globally. The relative rates of emissions of different nitrogen‐containing species (e.g., NO, , HONO, and ) are strong functions of soil properties such as temperature, moisture content, pH, and soil carbon and nitrogen pools. However, typical large‐scale biogeochemical models either express these emissions simplistically, or not at all. Here we investigate the potential impact of soil NO emissions on atmospheric chemistry and SOA formation over regional and monthly time scales, specifically the 2016 spring and summer Intensive Observational Periods (IOPs) of the Holistic Interactions of Shallow Clouds, Aerosols and Land Ecosystems (HI‐SCALE) field campaign. We implement the...

Field Evaluation of Do-It-Yourself Air Filtration Solutions for Evaporative Coolers to Reduce Ambient Particle Infiltration in Homes in Wildfire-Affected Communities