http://www.rssboard.org/rss-specification 720 https://escholarship.org/uc/ucnature_occasionalpapers/rss Recent eScholarship items from UC Nature Occasional Papers Sun, 20 Sep 2026 23:16:18 +0000 https://escholarship.org/uc/item/3jn1q3d8 Protected areas are critical for conserving California’s many sensitive plant species but their future role is uncertain under climate change. Climate-driven species losses and redistributions could dramatically affect the relevance of protected areas for biodiversity conservation this century. Focusing on the University of California Natural Reserve System (NRS), we predicted the future impact of climate change on reserve effectiveness with respect to sensitive plant protection. First, we evaluated the historical representation of sensitive plant species in the NRS reserve network by compiling species accounts from checklists, floras, and spatial queries of occurrence databases. Next, we calculated projected climate change exposure across the NRS reserve network for the end of the 21st century (2070–2099) relative to baseline (1971–2000) conditions under five future climate scenarios. We then predicted statewide changes in suitable habitat for 180 sensitive plant taxa using the... https://escholarship.org/uc/item/3jn1q3d8 Thu, 9 May 2019 00:00:00 +0000 Riordan, Erin C. Rundel, Philip W.