Energy production from wind is an increasingly important component of overall
global power generation, and will likely continue to gain an even greater share
of electricity production as world governments attempt to mitigate climate
change and wind energy production costs decrease. Wind energy generation
depends on wind speed, which is greatly influenced by local and synoptic
environmental forcings. Synoptic forcing, such as a cold frontal passage,
exists on a large spatial scale while local forcing manifests itself on a much
smaller scale and could result from topographic effects or land-surface heat
fluxes. Synoptic forcing, if strong enough, may suppress the effects of
generally weaker local forcing. At the even smaller scale of a wind farm,
upstream turbines generate wakes that decrease the wind speed and increase the
atmospheric turbulence at the downwind turbines, thereby reducing power
production and increasing fatigue loading that may damage turbine components,
respectively. Simulation of atmospheric processes that span a considerable
range of spatial and temporal scales is essential to improve wind energy
forecasting, wind turbine siting, turbine maintenance scheduling, and wind
turbine design.
Mesoscale atmospheric models predict atmospheric conditions using observed
data, for a wide range of meteorological applications across scales from
thousands of kilometers to hundreds of meters. Mesoscale models include
parameterizations for the major atmospheric physical processes that modulate
wind speed and turbulence dynamics, such as cloud evolution and
surface-atmosphere interactions. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)
model is used in this dissertation to investigate the effects of model
parameters on wind energy forecasting. WRF is used for case study simulations
at two West Coast North American wind farms, one with simple and one with
complex terrain, during both synoptically and locally-driven weather events.
The model's performance with different grid nesting configurations, turbulence
closures, and grid resolutions is evaluated by comparison to observation data.
Improvement to simulation results from the use of more computationally
expensive high resolution simulations is only found for the complex terrain
simulation during the locally-driven event. Physical parameters, such as soil
moisture, have a large effect on locally-forced events, and prognostic
turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) schemes are found to perform better than
non-local eddy viscosity turbulence closure schemes.
Mesoscale models, however, do not resolve turbulence directly, which is
important at finer grid resolutions capable of resolving wind turbine
components and their interactions with atmospheric turbulence. Large-eddy
simulation (LES) is a numerical approach that resolves the largest scales of
turbulence directly by separating large-scale, energetically important eddies
from smaller scales with the application of a spatial filter. LES allows
higher fidelity representation of the wind speed and turbulence intensity at
the scale of a wind turbine which parameterizations have difficulty
representing. Use of high-resolution LES enables the implementation of more
sophisticated wind turbine parameterizations to create a robust model for wind
energy applications using grid spacing small enough to resolve individual
elements of a turbine such as its rotor blades or rotation area.
Generalized actuator disk (GAD) and line (GAL) parameterizations are integrated
into WRF to complement its real-world weather modeling capabilities and better
represent wind turbine airflow interactions, including wake effects. The GAD
parameterization represents the wind turbine as a two-dimensional disk
resulting from the rotation of the turbine blades. Forces on the atmosphere are
computed along each blade and distributed over rotating, annular rings
intersecting the disk. While typical LES resolution (10-20 m) is normally
sufficient to resolve the GAD, the GAL parameterization requires significantly
higher resolution (1-3 m) as it does not distribute the forces from the blades
over annular elements, but applies them along lines representing individual
blades.
In this dissertation, the GAL is implemented into WRF and evaluated against the
GAD parameterization from two field campaigns that measured the inflow and
near-wake regions of a single turbine. The data-sets are chosen to allow
validation under the weakly convective and weakly stable conditions
characterizing most turbine operations. The parameterizations are evaluated
with respect to their ability to represent wake wind speed, variance, and
vorticity by comparing fine-resolution GAD and GAL simulations along with
coarse-resolution GAD simulations. Coarse-resolution GAD simulations produce
aggregated wake characteristics similar to both GAD and GAL simulations (saving
on computational cost), while the GAL parameterization enables resolution of
near wake physics (such as vorticity shedding and wake expansion) for high
fidelity applications.
For the first time, to our knowledge, this dissertation combines the
capabilities of a mesoscale weather prediction model, LES, and high-resolution
wind turbine parameterizations into one model capable of simulating a real
array of wind turbines at a wind farm. WRF is used due to its sophisticated
environmental physics models, frequent use in the atmospheric modeling
community, and grid nesting with LES capabilities. Grid nesting is feeding
lateral boundary condition data from a coarse resolution simulation to a finer
resolution simulation contained within the coarse resolution simulation's
domain. WRF allows the development of a grid nesting strategy from
synoptic-scale to microscale LES relevant for wind farm simulations; this is
done by building on the results from the investigation of model parameters for
wind energy forecasting and the implementation of the GAD and GAL wind turbine
parameterizations. The nesting strategy is coupled with a GAD parameterization
to model the effects of wind turbine wakes on downstream turbines at a
utility-scale Oklahoma wind farm. Simulation results are compared to
dual-Doppler measurements that provide three-dimensional fields of horizontal
wind speed and direction. The nesting strategy is able to produce realistic
turbine wake effects, while differences with the measurements can mostly be
attributed to the quality of the available weather input data.