Purpose

Previous studies comparing extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) modality for congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) have not accounted for confounding by indication. We therefore hypothesized that using a propensity score (PS) approach to account for selection bias may identify outcome differences based on ECMO modality for infants with CDH.

Methods

We utilized ELSO Registry data (2000-2016). Patients with CDH were divided to either venoarterial (VA) or venovenous (VV) ECMO. Patients were matched by PS to control for nonrandom treatment assignment. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on timing of CDH repair relative to ECMO. Primary analysis was the "intent-to-treat" cohort based on the initial ECMO mode. Mortality was the primary outcome, and severe neurologic injury (SNI) was a secondary outcome.

Results

PS matching (3:1) identified 3304 infants (VA = 2470, VV = 834). In the main group, mortality was not different between VA and VV ECMO (OR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.86-1.18) and there was no difference in SNI between VA and VV (OR = 0.80; 95% CI: 0.63-1.01). For the pre-ECMO CDH repair subgroup, 175 VA cases were matched to 70 VV. In these neonates, mortality was higher for VV compared to VA (OR = 2.10, 95% CI: 1.19-3.69), without any difference in SNI (OR = 1.48; 95% CI: 0.59-3.71). For the subgroup that did not have pre-ECMO CDH repair, 2030 VA cases were matched to 683 VV cases. In this subgroup, VV was associated with 27% lower risk of SNI relative to VA (OR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.56-0.95) without any difference in mortality (OR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.79-1.11).

Conclusion

This study revalidates that ECMO mode does not significantly affect mortality or SNI in infants with CDH. In the subset of infants who require pre-ECMO CDH repair, VA favors survival, whereas, in the subgroup of infants that did not have pre-ECMO CDH repair, VV favors lower rates of SNI. We conclude that neither mode appears consistently superior across all situations, and clinical judgment should remain a multifactorial decision.

Level of evidence

Level III.

The purpose of our study was to develop and validate extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO)-specific mortality risk models for congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH). We utilized the data from the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization Registry (2000-2015). Prediction models were developed using multivariable logistic regression. We identified 4,374 neonates with CDH with an overall mortality of 52%. Predictive discrimination (C statistic) for pre-ECMO mortality model was C = 0.65 (95% confidence interval, 0.62-0.68). Within the highest risk group, based on the pre-ECMO risk score, mortality was 87% and 75% in the training and validation data sets, respectively. The pre-ECMO risk score included pre-ECMO ventilator settings, pH, prior diaphragmatic hernia repair, critical congenital heart disease, perinatal infection, and demographics. For the on-ECMO model, mortality prediction improved substantially: C = 0.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.76) with the addition of on-ECMO-associated complications. Within the highest risk group, defined by the on-ECMO risk score, mortality was 90% and 86% in the training and validation data sets, respectively. Mortality among neonates with CDH needing ECMO can be reliably predicted with validated clinical variables identified in this study. ECMO-specific mortality prediction tools can allow risk stratification to be used in research and quality improvement efforts, as well as with caution for individual case management.

Although the mortality of infants with congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) has been improving since the late 1990s, this observation has not been paralleled among the CDH cohort receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). We sought to elucidate why the mortality rate in the CDH-ECMO population has remained at approximately 50% despite consistent progress in the field by examining the baseline risk profile/characteristics of neonates with CDH before ECMO (pre-ECMO). Neonates with a diagnosis of CDH were identified in the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (ELSO) Registry from 1992 to 2015. Individual pre-ECMO risk score (RS) for mortality was categorized to pre-ECMO risk-stratified cohorts. Temporal trends based on individual-level mortality by risk cohorts were assessed by logistic regression. We identified 6,696 neonates with CDH. The mortality rates during this time period were approximately 50%. The average baseline pre-ECMO RS increased during this period: mean increase of 0.35 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.324-0.380). In the low-risk cohort, the likelihood of mortality increased over time: each 5 year change was associated with a 7.3% increased likelihood of mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 1.0726; 95% CI: 1.0060-1.1437). For the moderate-risk cohort, the likelihood of mortality decreased by 7.05% (OR: 0.9295; 95% CI: 0.8822-0.9793). There was no change in the odds of mortality for the high-risk cohort (OR: 0.9650; 95% CI: 0.8915-1.0446). Although the overall mortality rate remained approximately constant over time, the individual likelihood of death has declined over time in the moderate-risk cohort, increased in the low-risk cohort, and remained unchanged in the high-risk cohort.