Serum transferrin, estimated by total iron-binding capacity (TIBC), may be a marker of protein-energy wasting (PEW) in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. We hypothesized that low TIBC or its fall over time is associated with poor clinical outcomes. In 807 MHD patients in a prospective 5-year cohort, associations of TIBC and its changes over time with outcomes were examined after adjustment for case-mix and markers of iron stores and malnutrition-inflammation including serum interleukin-6, iron and ferritin. Patients with serum TIBC >or=250 mg/dl had higher body mass index, triceps and biceps skinfolds and mid-arm muscle circumference and higher serum levels of iron but lower ferritin and inflammatory markers. Some SF-36 quality of life (QoL) components were worse in the lowest and/or highest TIBC groups. Mortality was incrementally higher in lower TIBC levels (p-trend <0.001). Adjusted death hazard ratio was 1.75 (95% CI: 1.00-3.05, p = 0.05) for TIBC <150 compared to TIBC of 200-250 mg/dl. A fall in TIBC >20 mg/dl over 6 months was associated with a death hazard ratio of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.04-2.36, p = 0.03) compared to the stable TIBC group. Hence, low baseline serum TIBC is associated with iron deficiency, PEW, inflammation, poor QoL and mortality, and its decline over time is independently associated with increased death risk.

Background

The Malnutrition-Inflammation Score (MIS), an inexpensive and easy-to-assess score of 0 to 30 to examine protein-energy wasting (PEW) and inflammation, includes 7 components of the Subjective Global Assessment, body mass index, and serum albumin and transferrin concentrations. We hypothesized that MIS risk stratification of hemodialysis (HD) patients in predicting outcomes is better than its components or laboratory markers of inflammation.

Study design

5-Year cohort study.

Setting & participants

We examined 809 stable HD outpatients and followed them for up to 5 years (October 2001 to December 2006).

Predictors

MIS and other nutritional and inflammatory markers.

Outcomes & measurements

Prospective all-cause mortality, health-related quality of life using the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36), and tests of body composition.

Results

The MIS correlated with logarithm of serum interleukin 6 level (r = +0.26; P < 0.001), logarithm of C-reactive protein level (r = +0.16; P < 0.001), and several measures of nutritional status. Patients with a higher MIS had lower SF-36 scores. After multivariate adjustment for case-mix and other measures of PEW, HD patients in the second (3 to 4), third (5 to 7), and fourth (>or=8) quartiles of MIS had worse survival rates than those in the first (0 to 2) quartile (P < 0.001). Each 2-unit increase in MIS was associated with a 2-fold greater death risk, ie, adjusted death hazard ratio of 2.03 (95% confidence interval, 1.76 to 2.33; P < 0.001). Cubic spline survival models confirmed linear trends. Adding MIS to the constellation of age, sex, race/ethnicity, and vintage significantly improved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve developed for predicting mortality (0.71 versus 0.67; P < 0.001).

Limitations

Selection bias and unknown confounders.

Conclusions

In HD patients, the MIS is associated with inflammation, nutritional status, quality of life, and 5-year prospective mortality. The mortality predictability of the MIS appears equal to serum interleukin 6 and somewhat greater than C-reactive protein levels. Controlled trials are warranted to examine whether interventions to improve the MIS can also improve clinical outcomes in HD patients.