- Lai, Heidi TM;
- Imamura, Fumiaki;
- Korat, Andres V Ardisson;
- Murphy, Rachel A;
- Tintle, Nathan;
- Bassett, Julie K;
- Chen, Jiaying;
- Kröger, Janine;
- Chien, Kuo-Liong;
- Senn, Mackenzie;
- Wood, Alexis C;
- Forouhi, Nita G;
- Schulze, Matthias B;
- Harris, William S;
- Vasan, Ramachandran S;
- Hu, Frank;
- Giles, Graham G;
- Hodge, Allison;
- Djousse, Luc;
- Brouwer, Ingeborg A;
- Qian, Frank;
- Sun, Qi;
- Wu, Jason HY;
- Marklund, Matti;
- Lemaitre, Rozenn N;
- Siscovick, David S;
- Fretts, Amanda M;
- Shadyab, Aladdin H;
- Manson, JoAnn E;
- Howard, Barbara V;
- Robinson, Jennifer G;
- Wallace, Robert B;
- Wareham, Nick J;
- Chen, Yii-Der Ida;
- Rotter, Jerome I;
- Tsai, Michael Y;
- Micha, Renata;
- Mozaffarian, Dariush
Objective
Trans fatty acids (TFAs) have harmful biologic effects that could increase the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but evidence remains uncertain. We aimed to investigate the prospective associations of TFA biomarkers and T2D by conducting an individual participant-level pooled analysis.Research design and methods
We included data from an international consortium of 12 prospective cohorts and nested case-control studies from six nations. TFA biomarkers were measured in blood collected between 1990 and 2008 from 25,126 participants aged ≥18 years without prevalent diabetes. Each cohort conducted de novo harmonized analyses using a prespecified protocol, and findings were pooled using inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was explored by prespecified between-study and within-study characteristics.Results
During a mean follow-up of 13.5 years, 2,843 cases of incident T2D were identified. In multivariable-adjusted pooled analyses, no significant associations with T2D were identified for trans/trans-18:2, relative risk (RR) 1.09 (95% CI 0.94-1.25); cis/trans-18:2, 0.89 (0.73-1.07); and trans/cis-18:2, 0.87 (0.73-1.03). Trans-16:1n-9, total trans-18:1, and total trans-18:2 were inversely associated with T2D (RR 0.81 [95% CI 0.67-0.99], 0.86 [0.75-0.99], and 0.84 [0.74-0.96], respectively). Findings were not significantly different according to prespecified sources of potential heterogeneity (each P ≥ 0.1).Conclusions
Circulating individual trans-18:2 TFA biomarkers were not associated with risk of T2D, while trans-16:1n-9, total trans-18:1, and total trans-18:2 were inversely associated. Findings may reflect the influence of mixed TFA sources (industrial vs. natural ruminant), a general decline in TFA exposure due to policy changes during this period, or the relatively limited range of TFA levels.