Interest in health implications of Earth science research has significantly increased. Articles frequently dispense policy advice, for example, to reduce human contaminant exposures. Recommendations such as fish consumption advisories rarely reflect causal reasoning around tradeoffs or anticipate how scientific information will be received and processed by the media or vulnerable communities. Health is the product of interacting social and physical processes, yet predictable responses are often overlooked. Analysis of physical and social mechanisms, and health and non-health tradeoffs, is needed to achieve policy benefits rather than policy impact. Dedicated funding mechanisms would improve the quality and availability of these analyses.

Monomethylmercury (MMHg) is a neurotoxicant that biomagnifies in marine food webs, reaching high concentrations in apex predators. To predict changes in oceanic MMHg concentrations, it is important to quantify the sources and sinks of MMHg. Here, we study mercury speciation in the California Current System through cruise sampling and modeling. Previous work in the California Current System has found that upwelling transports mercury-enriched deep waters to productive surface waters. These upwelled waters originate within the California Undercurrent water mass and are subsequently advected as a surface water parcel to the California Current. Between the two major water masses, we find that compared to the California Current, the California Undercurrent contains elevated dissolved total mercury (THg) and dimethylmercury (DMHg) concentrations by 59 and 69%, respectively. We explain that these differences result from losses during advection, specifically scavenging of THg and DMHg demethylation. We calculate a net DMHg demethylation rate of 2.0 ± 1.1% d-1 and build an empirically constrained mass budget model to demonstrate that net DMHg demethylation accounts for 61% of surface MMHg sources. These findings illustrate that DMHg is a significant source of MMHg in this region, challenging the current understanding of the major sources of marine MMHg.

Past and present anthropogenic mercury (Hg) release to ecosystems causes neurotoxicity and cardiovascular disease in humans with an estimated economic cost of $117 billion USD annually. Humans are primarily exposed to Hg via the consumption of contaminated freshwater and marine fish. The UNEP Minamata Convention on Hg aims to curb Hg release to the environment and is accompanied by global Hg monitoring efforts to track its success. The biogeochemical Hg cycle is a complex cascade of release, dispersal, transformation and bio-uptake processes that link Hg sources to Hg exposure. Global change interacts with the Hg cycle by impacting the physical, biogeochemical and ecological factors that control these processes. In this review we examine how global change such as biome shifts, deforestation, permafrost thaw or ocean stratification will alter Hg cycling and exposure. Based on past declines in Hg release and environmental levels, we expect that future policy impacts should be distinguishable from global change effects at the regional and global scales.

Coastal upwelling supplies nutrients supporting primary production while also adding the toxic trace metal mercury (Hg) to the mixed layer of the ocean. This could be a concern for human and environmental health if it results in the enhanced bioaccumulation of monomethylmercury (MMHg). Here, we explore how upwelling influences Hg cycling in the California Current System (CCS) biome through particle scavenging and sea-air exchange. We collected suspended and sinking particle samples from a coastal upwelled water parcel and an offshore non-upwelled water parcel and observed higher total particulate Hg and sinking flux in the upwelling region compared to open ocean. To further investigate the full dynamics of Hg cycling, we modeled Hg inventories and fluxes in the upper ocean under upwelling and non-upwelling scenarios. The model simulations confirmed and quantified that upwelling enhances sinking fluxes of Hg by 41% through elevated primary production. Such an enhanced sinking flux of Hg is biogeochemically important to understand in upwelling regions, as it increases the delivery of Hg to the deep ocean where net conversion to MMHg may take place.

Marine plastic pollution poses a potential threat to the ecosystem, but the sources and their magnitudes remain largely unclear. Existing bottom-up emission inventories vary among studies for two to three orders of magnitudes (OMs). Here, we adopt a top-down approach that uses observed dataset of sea surface plastic concentrations and an ensemble of ocean transport models to reduce the uncertainty of global plastic discharge. The optimal estimation of plastic emissions in this study varies about 1.5 OMs: 0.70 (0.13-3.8 as a 95% confidence interval) million metric tons yr^-1 at the present day. We find that the variability of surface plastic abundance caused by different emission inventories is higher than that caused by model parameters. We suggest that more accurate emission inventories, more data for the abundance in the seawater and other compartments, and more accurate model parameters are required to further reduce the uncertainty of our estimate.