Each year, droughts cause significant economic and agricultural losses across the world. The early warning and onset detection of drought is of particular importance for effective agriculture and water resource management. Previous studies show that the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), a measure of precipitation deficit, detects drought onset earlier than other indicators. Here we show that satellite-based near surface air relative humidity data can further improve drought onset detection and early warning. This paper introduces the Standardized Relative Humidity Index (SRHI) based on the NASA Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) observations. The results indicate that the SRHI typically detects the drought onset earlier than the SPI. While the AIRS mission was not originally designed for drought monitoring, we show that its relative humidity data offers a new and unique avenue for drought monitoring and early warning. We conclude that the early warning aspects of SRHI may have merit for integration into current drought monitoring systems.

Abstract: The role of nonlocal transport on the development and maintenance of marine stratocumulus (Sc) clouds in coarse-resolution models is investigated, with a special emphasis on the downdraft contribution. A new parameterization of cloud-top-triggered downdrafts is proposed and validated against large-eddy simulation (LES) for two Sc cases. The applied nonlocal mass-flux scheme is part of the stochastic multiplume eddy-diffusivity/mass-flux (EDMF) framework decomposing the turbulent transport into local and nonlocal contributions. The complementary local turbulent transport is represented with the Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino (MYNN) scheme. This EDMF version has been implemented in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) single-column model (SCM) and tested for three model versions: without mass flux, with updrafts only, and with both updrafts and downdrafts. In the LES, the downdraft and updraft contributions to the total heat and moisture transport are comparable and significant. The WRF SCM results show a good agreement between the parameterized downdraft turbulent transport and LES. While including updrafts greatly improves the modeling of Sc clouds over the simulation without mass flux, the addition of downdrafts is less significant, although it helps improve the moisture profile in the planetary boundary layer.

We consider a generic representation problem of internal coordinates (bond lengths, valence angles, and dihedral angles) and their transformation to 3-dimensional Cartesian coordinates of a biomolecule. We show that the internal-to-Cartesian process relies on correctly predicting chemically subtle correlations among the internal coordinates themselves, and learning these correlations increases the fidelity of the Cartesian representation. We developed a machine learning algorithm, Int2Cart, to predict bond lengths and bond angles from backbone torsion angles and residue types of a protein, which allows reconstruction of protein structures better than using fixed bond lengths and bond angles or a static library method that relies on backbone torsion angles and residue types in a local environment. The method is able to be used for structure validation, as we show that the agreement between Int2Cart-predicted bond geometries and those from an AlphaFold 2 model can be used to estimate model quality. Additionally, by using Int2Cart to reconstruct an IDP ensemble, we are able to decrease the clash rate during modeling. The Int2Cart algorithm has been implemented as a publicly accessible python package at https://github.com/THGLab/int2cart.

SUMMARY: The Local Disordered Region Sampling (LDRS, pronounced loaders) tool is a new module developed for IDPConformerGenerator, a previously validated approach to model intrinsically disordered proteins (IDPs). The IDPConformerGenerator LDRS module provides a method for generating all-atom conformations of intrinsically disordered protein regions at N- and C-termini of and in loops or linkers between folded regions of an existing protein structure. These disordered elements often lead to missing coordinates in experimental structures or low confidence in predicted structures. Requiring only a pre-existing PDB or mmCIF formatted structural template of the protein with missing coordinates or with predicted confidence scores and its full-length primary sequence, LDRS will automatically generate physically meaningful conformational ensembles of the missing flexible regions to complete the full-length protein. The capabilities of the LDRS tool of IDPConformerGenerator include modeling phosphorylation sites using enhanced Monte Carlo-Side Chain Entropy, transmembrane proteins within an all-atom bilayer, and multi-chain complexes. The modeling capacity of LDRS capitalizes on the modularity, the ability to be used as a library and via command-line, and the computational speed of the IDPConformerGenerator platform. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The LDRS module is part of the IDPConformerGenerator modeling suite, which can be downloaded from GitHub at https://github.com/julie-forman-kay-lab/IDPConformerGenerator. IDPConformerGenerator is written in Python3 and works on Linux, Microsoft Windows, and Mac OS versions that support DSSP. Users can utilize LDRSs Python API for scripting the same way they can use any part of IDPConformerGenerators API, by importing functions from the idpconfgen.ldrs_helper library. Otherwise, LDRS can be used as a command line interface application within IDPConformerGenerator. Full documentation is available within the command-line interface as well as on IDPConformerGenerators official documentation pages (https://idpconformergenerator.readthedocs.io/en/latest/).

The structural characterization of proteins with a disorder requires a computational approach backed by experiments to model their diverse and dynamic structural ensembles. The selection of conformational ensembles consistent with solution experiments of disordered proteins highly depends on the initial pool of conformers, with currently available tools limited by conformational sampling. We have developed a Generative Recurrent Neural Network (GRNN) that uses supervised learning to bias the probability distributions of torsions to take advantage of experimental data types such as nuclear magnetic resonance J-couplings, nuclear Overhauser effects, and paramagnetic resonance enhancements. We show that updating the generative model parameters according to the reward feedback on the basis of the agreement between experimental data and probabilistic selection of torsions from learned distributions provides an alternative to existing approaches that simply reweight conformers of a static structural pool for disordered proteins. Instead, the biased GRNN, DynamICE, learns to physically change the conformations of the underlying pool of the disordered protein to those that better agree with experiments.

Background

Pleural effusions constitute one of the most frequent pathologies encountered in the pulmonary service of Maputo Central Hospital (MCH) in Mozambique. Bleomycin and talc are commonly used for pleurodesis, but cost prohibitive, therefore we aimed to retrospectively compare the efficacy and safety of sodium hydroxide (NaOH) with bleomycin for pleurodesis.

Methods

Case records of pleurodesis using bleomycin and NaOH from 2002 to 2013 were reviewed. Standard of care for pleurodesis for recurrent pleural effusions at MCH was developed using the materials available. NaOH remained the agent of choice until 2006 when bleomycin became available. Clinical data regarding general complications, rate of success and lung expansion were noted for every patient who underwent pleurodesis at MCH during this time frame.

Results

Review of pleurodesis at MCH revealed 24 cases using bleomycin and 23 cases using NaOH as the sclerosing agent. Patient characteristics were balanced between the two groups with majority of pleural effusions malignant in etiology.

Conclusions

There was no statistically significant difference between the use of bleomycin and NaOH as defined by lung expansion. General complications were observed less frequently in 2 (10%) of patients treated with NaOH compared with 8 (38%) of patients using bleomycin. Only three patients presented with recurrent pleural effusion after pleurodesis with NaOH. NaOH may offer a low cost alternative sclerosing agent for resource limited areas.

Proteins with intrinsic or unfolded state disorder comprise a new frontier in structural biology, requiring the characterization of diverse and dynamic structural ensembles. We introduce a comprehensive Bayesian framework, the Extended Experimental Inferential Structure Determination (X-EISD) method, that calculates the maximum log-likelihood of a disordered protein ensemble. X-EISD accounts for the uncertainties of a range of experimental data and back-calculation models from structures, including NMR chemical shifts, J-couplings, Nuclear Overhauser Effects (NOEs), paramagnetic relaxation enhancements (PREs), residual dipolar couplings (RDCs), hydrodynamic radii (R _h ), single molecule fluorescence Förster resonance energy transfer (smFRET) and small angle X-ray scattering (SAXS). We apply X-EISD to the joint optimization against experimental data for the unfolded drkN SH3 domain and find that combining a local data type, such as chemical shifts or J-couplings, paired with long-ranged restraints such as NOEs, PREs or smFRET, yields structural ensembles in good agreement with all other data types if combined with representative IDP conformers.

The Southern Cone of South America (SCSA) is a key region for investigations about the peopling of the Americas. However, little is known about the eastern sector, the Argentinian Pampas. We analyzed 18 mitochondrial genomes-7 of which are novel-from human skeletal remains from 3 Early to Late Holocene archaeological sites. The Pampas present a distinctive genetic makeup compared to other Middle to Late Holocene pre-Columbian SCSA populations. We also report the earliest individuals carrying SCSA-specific mitochondrial haplogroups D1j and D1g from Early and Middle Holocene, respectively. Using these deep calibration time points in Bayesian phylogenetic reconstructions, we suggest that the first settlers of the Pampas were part of a single and rapid dispersal ∼15,600 years ago. Finally, we propose that present-day genetic differences between the Pampas and the rest of the SCSA are due to founder effects, genetic drift, and a partial population replacement ∼9,000 years ago.