UC Irvine

Achieving undetectable MRD (U-MRD) status after chemoimmunotherapy predicts longer progression-free and overall survival. The predictive factors and timing of relapse in patients with U-MRD and value of interim MRD analysis are ill-defined. This was a prospective study of 289 patients with CLL treated first-line with FCR. MRD analysis was performed after course 3 (C3) and at end of therapy (EOT) in bone marrow using 4-color flow cytometry (sensitivity 10-4). Eighteen percent of patients had U-MRD after C3 and 48% at EOT. U-MRD status at EOT was associated with longer PFS (median NR vs 38 mo, p < 0.001). MRD level (≤1% vs >1%) after C3 predicted greater likelihood of U-MRD status at EOT (64% vs 9%, p < 0.001). PFS was significantly longer for patients with MRD ≤1% vs >1% after C3 (median 73 mo vs 41 mo, p < 0.001), but similar for <0.01% vs 0.01-1%. Interim MRD status may therefore be used for risk stratification and to individualize therapy. Eighty-five patients with U-MRD status at EOT had yearly blood MRD monitoring; MRD re-emerged in 38/85, a median of 48 mo after EOT and preceded clinical progression by a median of 24 months, which may allow development of early intervention strategies.