UCSF

Biomarkers for evaluating tumor response to therapy and estimating the risk of disease relapse represent tremendous areas of clinical need. To evaluate treatment efficacy, tumor response is routinely assessed using different imaging modalities like positron emission tomography/computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging. More recently, the development of circulating tumor DNA detection assays has provided a minimally invasive approach to evaluate tumor response and prognosis through a blood test (liquid biopsy). Integrating imaging- and circulating tumor DNA-based biomarkers may lead to improvements in the prediction of patient outcomes. For this mini-review, we searched the scientific literature to find original articles that combined quantitative imaging and circulating tumor DNA biomarkers to build prediction models. Seven studies reported building prognostic models to predict distant recurrence-free, progression-free, or overall survival. Three discussed building models to predict treatment response using tumor volume, pathologic complete response, or objective response as endpoints. The limited number of articles and the modest cohort sizes reported in these studies attest to the infancy of this field of study. Nonetheless, these studies demonstrate the feasibility of developing multivariable response-predictive and prognostic models using regression and machine learning approaches. Larger studies are warranted to facilitate the building of highly accurate response-predictive and prognostic models that are generalizable to other datasets and clinical settings.