UCSF

Abstract Although the overall prognostic significance of maximal surgical resection of contrast-enhancing tumor in glioblastoma patients is well established, prior studies have not evaluated the combined importance of resection, molecular markers, patient characteristics, and chemoradiation. Incorporation of these factors may redefine the relative benefit of cytoreductive surgery and establish differing thresholds for extent of resection in varying clinical presentations. In the first study of its kind, we examine the interactive effects of volumetric extent of resection with molecular and clinical factors to develop a new roadmap for cytoreductive surgery. Based on a 20-year retrospective cohort of 850 glioblastoma patients who had initial surgery at UCSF, we employed survival models and recursive partitioning (RPA) to investigate multivariate relationships of overall survival (OS), both in the entire cohort as well as a subset diagnosed since 2005 (Stupp-era) with IDH1 mutation status available (n=470). For the entire cohort and the Stupp-era subset, the RPAs elucidate the combinatorial consequence of treatment, age, IDH1 status (in the subset), and resection of both enhancing and non-enhancing tumor. In the Stupp-era, temozolomide-treated patients that are IDH-wildtype and >65 clearly benefit from a reduction of the enhancing tumor (median OS: 10.1 vs 15.8 months). IDH-wildtype, temozolomide-treated patients under 65 benefit from reduction of both enhancing and non-enhancing tumor with a median survival similar to that of IDH-mutant, temozolomide-treated patients (combined median OS: 33.7 months). The patients faring worst are those that did not receive temozolomide that are >65 and/or have ≥0.3 cm3 residual enhancing tumor (median OS: 4 months). These risk models outperform all published prognostic models. This is the first study to combine resection of contrast-enhancing and non-enhancing tumor in conjunction with molecular and clinical information in a large single-institution study, and paves the way for rethinking surgical strategies for individual patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma.