UC San Diego

Context.—

Urothelial proliferation of unknown malignant potential (UPUMP) is a 2016 World Health Organization classifier that encompasses prior categories of flat and papillary urothelial hyperplasia. In addition, UPUMP occurs in settings of both de novo and prior bladder neoplasia.

Objective.—

To identify UPUMP features associated with subsequent neoplastic development.

Design.—

Sixty-eight patients were identified from the archives, including 26 patients with de novo and 42 patients with prior bladder neoplasia. Patient slides and clinical course were reviewed.

Results.—

Patients with de novo UPUMP were detected through clinical findings (26/26; 100%), whereas surveillance cystoscopy primarily detected UPUMP in patients with prior neoplasia (29/42; 69%). Histopathologic criteria evaluated included urothelial hyperplasia, urothelial cytology, vascular ingrowth, denudation, inflammation, edema, and fibrosis. Mean clinical follow-up was 68.9 months in patients with de novo neoplasia and 69.5 months in patients with prior neoplasia. Subsequent neoplasia developed in 4 of 26 (15.4%) of patients with de novo UPUMP and was associated with cystoscopic papillary appearance (P = .02) or microscopic thin papillary ingrowths or papillations (P = .02; median time to progression, 4.1 months). Of 42 patients with prior neoplasia, 17 (40.5%) had subsequent neoplasia, significantly associated with an absence of prominent lamina propria edema (P < .001; median time to progression, 11.0 months). A higher rate of progression to high-grade disease was present in patients with a prior neoplasia versus those with de novo disease (58.9% versus 25%).

Conclusions.—

Urothelial proliferation of unknown malignant potential shows subsequent risk of neoplastic development of 17% in patients with de novo disease and 40% in patients with prior neoplasia. The greatest risk of progression is associated with early papillary formation.