Skip to main content
eScholarship
Open Access Publications from the University of California

College performance predictions and the SAT

  • Author(s): Rothstein, JM
  • et al.

Published Web Location

http://eml.berkeley.edu/~jrothst/publications/rothstein_sat_jmetrics2004.pdf
No data is associated with this publication.
Abstract

The methods used in most SAT validity studies cannot be justified by any sample selection assumptions and are uninformative about the source of the SAT's predictive power. A new omitted variables estimator is proposed; plausibly consistent estimates of the SAT's contribution to predictions of University of California freshman grade point averages are about 20% smaller than the usual methods imply. Moreover, much of the SAT's predictive power is found to derive from its correlation with high school demographic characteristics: The orthogonal portion of SAT scores is notably less predictive of future performance than is the unadjusted score. © 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Many UC-authored scholarly publications are freely available on this site because of the UC's open access policies. Let us know how this access is important for you.

Item not freely available? Link broken?
Report a problem accessing this item