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Predicting the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa: the case of Namibia

Published Web Location

https://doi.org/10.1093/jtm/taac034
Abstract

SARS-CoV-2 transmission models have been fairly inaccurate in their predictions for Africa. Here, based on an analysis of surveillance data from Namibia, we conclude that it is necessary to include spatial demography, and travel, in SARS-CoV-2 transmission models in order to make more accurate predictions for COVID-19 epidemics in Africa.

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