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On the Attribution of a Single Event to Climate Change

  • Author(s): Hansen, Gerrit
  • Auffhammer, Maximilian
  • Solow, Andrew R
  • et al.
Abstract

© 2014 American Meteorological Society. There is growing interest in assessing the role of climate change in observed extreme weather events. Recent work in this area has focused on estimating a measure called attributable risk. A statistical formulation of this problem is described and used to construct a confidence interval for attributable risk. The resulting confidence is shown to be surprisinglywide even in the case where the event of interest is unprecedented in the historical record.

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