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Open Access Publications from the University of California

On the attribution of a single event to climate change

  • Author(s): Hansen, G;
  • Auffhammer, M;
  • Solow, AR
  • et al.

There is growing interest in assessing the role of climate change in observed extreme weather events. Recent work in this area has focused on estimating a measure called attributable risk. A statistical formulation of this problem is described and used to construct a confidence interval for attributable risk. The resulting confidence is shown to be surprisinglywide even in the case where the event of interest is unprecedented in the historical record.

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