UC Davis

Aims

Pre-surgical risk classification tools for prostate cancer have shown better patient stratification with the addition of cribriform pattern 4 (CC) and intraductal prostatic carcinoma (IDC) identified in biopsies. Here, we analyse the additional prognostic impact of CC/IDC observed in prostatectomies using Cancer of Prostate Risk Assessment post-surgical (CAPRA-S) stratification.

Methods

A retrospective cohort of treatment-naïve radical prostatectomy specimens from three North American academic institutions (2010-2018) was assessed for the presence of CC/IDC. Patients were classified, after calculating the CAPRA-S scores, into low-risk (0-2), intermediate-risk (3-5) and high-risk (6-12) groups. Kaplan-Meier curves were created to estimate biochemical recurrence (BCR)-free survival. Prognostic performance was examined using Harrell's concordance index, and the effects of CC/IDC within each risk group were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

Our cohort included 825 prostatectomies (grade group (GG)1, n=94; GG2, n=475; GG3, n=185; GG4, n=13; GG5, n=58). CC/IDC was present in 341 (41%) prostatectomies. With a median follow-up of 4.2 years (range 2.9-6.4), 166 (20%) patients experienced BCR. The CAPRA-S low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk groups comprised 357 (43%), 328 (40%) and 140 (17%) patients, and discriminated for BCR-free survival (p<0.0001). For CAPRA-S scores 3-5, the addition of CC/IDC status improved stratification for BCR (HR 2.27, 95% CI 1.41 to 3.66, p<0.001) and improved the overall c-index (0.689 vs 0.667, analysis of variance p<0.001).

Conclusion

The addition of CC/IDC into the CAPRA-S classification significantly improved post-radical prostatectomy patient stratification for BCR among the intermediate-risk group (CAPRA-S scores 3-5). The reporting of CC and IDC should be included in future prostate cancer stratification tools for improved outcome prediction.