Cliodynamics

Parent: The Institute for Research on World-Systems

eScholarship stats: History by Item for June through September, 2026

Item	Title	Total requests	2026-09	2026-08	2026-07	2026-06
8p0176zr	On the Life Cycle of Empires	2,940	941	1,285	397	317
9jj9j6z7	Resetting History’s Dial? A Critique of David Graeber and David Wengrow, The Dawn of Everything: A New History of Humanity	2,570	300	388	333	1,549
6qp8x28p	Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability	2,485	599	674	442	770
82s3p5hj	Toward Cliodynamics – an Analytical, Predictive Science of History	2,045	647	636	341	421
8r85g67d	Demographic Structural Theory: 25 Years On	1,479	230	680	322	247
8cs3q9xt	A review essay on End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration by Peter Turchin (Penguin Random House 2023)	1,191	314	287	196	394
3mw3d3r7	CRISES AVERTED. How A Few Past Societies Found Adaptive Reforms in the Face of Structural-Demographic Crises	1,070	226	220	171	453
5mv6v0r1	A Dynamic Theory of Battle Victory and Defeat	970	280	282	117	291
9qx38718	Seshat: The Global History Databank	907	226	312	159	210
62c908fk	Seshat: Global History Databank Publishes First Set of Historical Data	815	147	212	129	327
4t32q1mj	Anvil Age Economy: A Map of the Spread of Iron Metallurgy across Afro-Eurasia	812	290	266	105	151
8jr9v920	The Evolution of War	810	292	247	100	171
5j8740dz	The Roman Dominate from the Perspective of Demographic-Structural Theory	716	109	145	82	380
3861g21r	A Dynamic Analysis of American Socio-Political History. A Review of Ages of Discord: A Structural Demographic Analysis of American History by Peter Turchin (Beresta Books, 2016)	706	153	257	104	192
58z1j452	A Mathematical Model of Civilizational Dynamics: Quantifying Toynbee’s Challenge–Response Theory with Newtonian Mechanics	656	185	213	127	131
3wc3p3hf	Early Cities in The Dawn of Everything: Shoddy Scholarship in Support of Pedestrian Conclusions	644	107	167	141	229
981121t8	Tribal Social Instincts and the Cultural Evolution of Institutions to Solve Collective Action Problems	616	110	167	116	223
9v71n5h4	A ‘Perfect Storm’ in the Collapse of Bronze Age Civilization? Useful Insights and Roads not Taken	569	122	199	132	116
1sj9n878	Circumscription Theory of the Origins of the State: A Cross-Cultural Re-Analysis	563	176	141	95	151
8qq4w9q5	Mapping the Spread of Mounted Warfare	537	187	163	97	90
0415c0pj	Modeling Strategic Decisions in the Formation of the Early Neo-Assyrian Empire	522	300	60	74	88
2rf8c7zk	Explaining British Political Stability After 1832	497	148	151	61	137
7kp25961	Toward a New Universal History?	491	126	158	207
79t737gt	A Trap At The Escape From The Trap? Demographic-Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modern Africa and West Asia	479	113	155	93	118
0jd753h6	The Neglected Role of Inequality in Explanations of the Collapse of Ancient States	474	154	197	55	68
1ks0g7dr	Centralization/Decentralization in the Dynamics of Afghan History	474	154	196	64	60
97p470sx	Why Has the Number of International Non-Governmental Organizations Exploded since 1960?	467	144	91	71	161
0g05k07v	A History of Possible Futures: Multipath Forecasting of Social Breakdown, Recovery, and Resilience	462	134	125	81	122
8v75n1t9	New Patterns in Global History: A Review Essay on Strange Parallels by Victor Lieberman	457	101	225	58	73
72g2v469	Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability in the United Kingdom after 1960: A Demographic Structural Analysis	448	133	127	86	102
2cz4q2jq	The Growth and Decline of the Western Roman Empire: Quantifying the Dynamics of Army Size, Territory, and Coinage	447	135	116	93	103
1xt9k875	Linking “Micro” to “Macro” Models of State Breakdown to Improve Methods for Political Forecasting	410	139	138	45	88
6n09f7gr	For Cause and Comrade: Devoted Actors and Willingness to Fight	407	112	104	84	107
1tj057t3	Peter Turchin’s The Great Holocene Transformation: A Review Symposium	402	170	143	89
230872k1	Application of Mathematical Models to English Secular Cycles	399	111	134	72	82
3rt8w616	Grain Yields and the Causes of the Russian Revolution	388	89	140	84	75
577293kd	The West and the Rest: The Science of the Great Divergence	385	91	181	50	63
5536t55r	Cycling in the Complexity of Early Societies	384	140	90	62	92
20p8h7j2	Growth of human capital in the regions of the Russian Empire in 1897-1913: the role of local self-government bodies (zemstva) financing	373	67	121	46	139
8bm04882	Inequality and Institutions: A Review Essay on Why Nations Fail by Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson	365	93	144	59	69
3tk971d2	Complexity in Big History	353	100	120	39	94
2v8119hf	A Historical Database of Sociocultural Evolution	350	90	93	73	94
01m702z1	The Computational Power of a Human Society: a New Model of Social Evolution	348	134	92	44	78
74j910z1	Indo-Europeans Were the Most Historically Significant Nomads of the Steppes	345	75	88	50	132
1144d4t7	The Origins of Western Superiority: A comment on Modes of Meta-History and Duchesne’s Indo-Europeans Article	339	94	130	51	64
6440s413	Cliodynamics and State Origins Theory	334	92	135	107
7wn9b6mn	War, Peace, and Everything: Thoughts on Tolstoy	328	81	126	51	70
43w3q5kp	Institutional Rigidity and Evolutionary Theory: Trapped on a Local Maximum	325	75	102	53	95
3062j4rm	A Single Historical Continuum	318	120	69	40	89
4h29270b	Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses	314	54	120	58	82

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