This study investigates how judgments of explanatory power
are affected by (i) the prior credibility of a potential
explanation, (ii) the causal framing used to describe the
explanation, and (iii) the generalizability of the explanation.
We found that the prior credibility of a causal explanation
plays a central role in explanatory reasoning: first, because of
the presence of strong main effects on judgments of
explanatory power, and second, because of the gate-keeping
role prior credibility has for other factors. Highly credible
explanations were not susceptible to causal framing effects.
Instead, highly credible hypotheses were sensitive to the
generalizability of an explanation. While these results yield a
more nuanced understanding of the determinants of
judgments of explanatory power, they also illuminate the
close relationship between prior beliefs and explanatory
power and the relationship between abductive and
probabilistic reasoning.