Here we explore whether drawing upon preschooler’s
intuitive causal reasoning abilities may bolster their attention
to the presence of conflicting data. Specifically, we examine
whether prompting children to think counterfactually about
alternative outcomes facilitates their anomaly detection in a
causal reasoning task. The current task assesses whether
children in two conditions successfully differentiate between
potential causes: one that accounts for 100% of the data (no
anomalies), and one that accounts for 75% of the data
(anomalies observed). Results indicate that counterfactual
prompts lead 5-year-olds to privilege the hypothesis that
accounts for more of their observations, and also support
transfer of this hypothesis to inform their inferences about
novel cases. Findings suggest that counterfactual scaffolds
may be beneficial in promoting causal reasoning in children.