- Muleme, Michael;
- McNamara, Bridgette;
- Ampt, Frances;
- Baptista, Mohana;
- Dittmer, Jennifer;
- Osborne, Aaron;
- Ahmed, Hibaq;
- Hales, Gabrielle;
- Kabwe, Mwila;
- Main, Stephanie;
- Moreira, Clarissa;
- Silverstein, Solomon;
- Sotheran, Emily;
- Athan, Eugene;
- Johnson, Paul;
- OBrien, Daniel;
- Sullivan, Sheena
OBJECTIVES: During the COVID-19 pandemic, no country with widespread community transmission has avoided outbreaks or deaths in residential aged care facilities (RACFs). As RACF residents are at high risk of morbidity and mortality from COVID-19, understanding disease severity risk factors is imperative. DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study aimed to compare COVID-19 disease severity (hospitalization and deaths) and associated risk factors among RACF residents in Victoria, Australia, across Delta and Omicron epidemic periods. SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Resident case hospitalization risk (HR) and case fatality risk (CFR) were assessed using Victorian RACFs COVID-19 outbreaks data across 2 epidemic periods; Delta, 994 resident cases linked to 86 outbreaks; and Omicron, 1882 resident cases linked to 209 outbreaks. METHODS: Adjusting for outbreak-level clustering, age, sex, up-to-date vaccination status, and time since last vaccination, the odds of hospitalization and death were compared using mixed effects logistic regression. RESULTS: The HR and CFR was lower during the Omicron period compared with the Delta period [HR 8.2% vs 24.6%, odds ratio (OR) 0.17, 95% CI 0.11-0.26, and CFR: 11.4% vs 18.7%, OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.28-0.56]. During both periods, males had higher odds of hospitalization and odds of death; being up to date with vaccination reduced odds of hospitalization by 40% (excluding nonemergency patient transfers) and odds of death by 43%; and for each month since last vaccination, odds of hospitalization increased by 9% and odds of death by 16%. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: This study provides empirical evidence of lower COVID-19 severity among RACF residents in the Omicron period and highlights the importance of up-to-date and timely vaccination to reduce disease severity in this cohort.