- Magaret, Craig;
- Li, Li;
- deCamp, Allan;
- Rolland, Morgane;
- Juraska, Michal;
- Williamson, Brian;
- Ludwig, James;
- Molitor, Cindy;
- Benkeser, David;
- Luedtke, Alex;
- Simpkins, Brian;
- Heng, Fei;
- Sun, Yanqing;
- Carpp, Lindsay;
- Bai, Hongjun;
- Dearlove, Bethany;
- Giorgi, Elena;
- Jongeneelen, Mandy;
- Brandenburg, Boerries;
- McCallum, Matthew;
- Bowen, John;
- Veesler, David;
- Sadoff, Jerald;
- Gray, Glenda;
- Roels, Sanne;
- Vandebosch, An;
- Stieh, Daniel;
- Le Gars, Mathieu;
- Vingerhoets, Johan;
- Grinsztejn, Beatriz;
- Goepfert, Paul;
- de Sousa, Leonardo;
- Silva, Mayara;
- Casapia, Martin;
- Losso, Marcelo;
- Gaur, Aditya;
- Bekker, Linda-Gail;
- Garrett, Nigel;
- Truyers, Carla;
- Van Dromme, Ilse;
- Swann, Edith;
- Marovich, Mary;
- Follmann, Dean;
- Neuzil, Kathleen;
- Corey, Lawrence;
- Greninger, Alexander;
- Roychoudhury, Pavitra;
- Hyrien, Ollivier;
- Gilbert, Peter;
- Little, Susan
In the ENSEMBLE randomized, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial (NCT04505722), estimated single-dose Ad26.COV2.S vaccine efficacy (VE) was 56% against moderate to severe-critical COVID-19. SARS-CoV-2 Spike sequences were determined from 484 vaccine and 1,067 placebo recipients who acquired COVID-19. In this set of prespecified analyses, we show that in Latin America, VE was significantly lower against Lambda vs. Reference and against Lambda vs. non-Lambda [family-wise error rate (FWER) p < 0.05]. VE differed by residue match vs. mismatch to the vaccine-insert at 16 amino acid positions (4 FWER p < 0.05; 12 q-value ≤ 0.20); significantly decreased with physicochemical-weighted Hamming distance to the vaccine-strain sequence for Spike, receptor-binding domain, N-terminal domain, and S1 (FWER p < 0.001); differed (FWER ≤ 0.05) by distance to the vaccine strain measured by 9 antibody-epitope escape scores and 4 NTD neutralization-impacting features; and decreased (p = 0.011) with neutralization resistance level to vaccinee sera. VE against severe-critical COVID-19 was stable across most sequence features but lower against the most distant viruses.