- Walker, Anthony P;
- De Kauwe, Martin G;
- Medlyn, Belinda E;
- Zaehle, Sönke;
- Iversen, Colleen M;
- Asao, Shinichi;
- Guenet, Bertrand;
- Harper, Anna;
- Hickler, Thomas;
- Hungate, Bruce A;
- Jain, Atul K;
- Luo, Yiqi;
- Lu, Xingjie;
- Lu, Meng;
- Luus, Kristina;
- Megonigal, J Patrick;
- Oren, Ram;
- Ryan, Edmund;
- Shu, Shijie;
- Talhelm, Alan;
- Wang, Ying-Ping;
- Warren, Jeffrey M;
- Werner, Christian;
- Xia, Jianyang;
- Yang, Bai;
- Zak, Donald R;
- Norby, Richard J
Increasing atmospheric CO2 stimulates photosynthesis which can increase net primary production (NPP), but at longer timescales may not necessarily increase plant biomass. Here we analyse the four decade-long CO2-enrichment experiments in woody ecosystems that measured total NPP and biomass. CO2 enrichment increased biomass increment by 1.05 ± 0.26 kg C m-2 over a full decade, a 29.1 ± 11.7% stimulation of biomass gain in these early-secondary-succession temperate ecosystems. This response is predictable by combining the CO2 response of NPP (0.16 ± 0.03 kg C m-2 y-1) and the CO2-independent, linear slope between biomass increment and cumulative NPP (0.55 ± 0.17). An ensemble of terrestrial ecosystem models fail to predict both terms correctly. Allocation to wood was a driver of across-site, and across-model, response variability and together with CO2-independence of biomass retention highlights the value of understanding drivers of wood allocation under ambient conditions to correctly interpret and predict CO2 responses.