Background

Patients with early-stage pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) may develop metastatic recurrences despite undergoing potentially curative pancreas resections. We sought to identify factors predictive of metastatic recurrences and develop a prognostication strategy to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) in resected PNETs.

Methods

Patients with localized PNETs undergoing surgical resection between 1989 and 2015 were identified. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to identify potential predictors of post-resection metastasis. A score-based prognostication system was devised using the identified factors. The bootstrap model validation methodology was utilized to estimate the external validity of the proposed prognostication strategy.

Results

Of the 140 patients with completely resected early-stage PNETs, overall 5- and 10-year RFS were 84.6% and 67.1%, respectively. The median follow-up was 56 months. Multivariate analysis identified tumor size > 5 cm, Ki-67 index 8-20%, lymph node involvement, and high histologic grade (G3, or Ki-67 > 20%) as independent predictors of post-resection metastatic recurrence. A scoring system based on these factors stratified patients into three prognostic categories with distinct 5-year RFS: 96.9%, 54.8%, and 33.3% (P < 0.0001). The bootstrap model validation methodology projected our proposed prognostication strategy to retain a high predictive accuracy even when applied in an external dataset (validated c-index of 0.81).

Conclusions

The combination of tumor size, LN status, grade, and Ki-67 was identified as the most highly predictive indicators of metastatic recurrences in resected PNETs. The proposed prognostication strategy may help stratify patients for adjuvant therapies, enhanced surveillance protocols and future clinical trials.

BACKGROUND:Occult metastatic tumors, below imaging thresholds, are a limitation of staging systems that rely on cross-sectional imaging alone and are a cause of the routine understaging of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs). We investigated circulating tumor cells (CTCs) as a preoperative predictor of occult metastatic disease and as a prognostic biomarker for PDAC patients. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN:A total of 126 patients (100 with cancer, 26 with benign disease) were enrolled in our study and CTCs were identified and enumerated from 4 mL of venous blood using the microfluidic NanoVelcro assay. CTC enumeration was correlated with clinicopathologic variables and outcomes following both surgical and systemic therapies. RESULTS:CTCs were identified in 78% of PDAC patients and CTC counts correlated with increasing stage (ρ = 0.42, p < 0.001). Of the 53 patients taken for potentially curative surgery, 13 (24.5%) had occult metastatic disease intraoperatively. Patients with occult disease had significantly more CTCs than patients with local disease only (median 7 vs. 1 CTC, p < 0.0001). At a cut-off of three or more CTCs/4 mL, CTCs correctly identified patients with occult metastatic disease preoperatively (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-0.98, p < 0.0001). CTCs were a univariate predictor of recurrence-free survival following surgery [hazard ratio (HR) 2.36, 95% CI 1.17-4.78, p = 0.017], as well as an independent predictor of overall survival on multivariate analysis (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.01-1.88, p = 0.040). CONCLUSIONS:CTCs show promise as a prognostic biomarker for PDAC patients at all stages of disease being treated both medically and surgically. Furthermore, CTCs demonstrate potential as a preoperative biomarker for identifying patients at high risk of occult metastatic disease.

To understand the potential and limitations of circulating tumor cell (CTC) sequencing for molecular diagnostics, we investigated the feasibility of identifying the ubiquitous KRAS mutation in single CTCs from pancreatic cancer (PC) patients. We used the NanoVelcro/laser capture microdissection CTC platform, combined with whole genome amplification and KRAS Sanger sequencing. We assessed both KRAS codon-12 coverage and the degree that allele dropout during whole genome amplification affected the detection of KRAS mutations from single CTCs. We isolated 385 single cells, 163 from PC cell lines and 222 from the blood of 12 PC patients, and obtained KRAS sequence coverage in 218 of 385 single cells (56.6%). For PC cell lines with known KRAS mutations, single mutations were detected in 67% of homozygous cells but only 37.4% of heterozygous single cells, demonstrating that both coverage and allele dropout are important causes of mutation detection failure from single cells. We could detect KRAS mutations in CTCs from 11 of 12 patients (92%) and 33 of 119 single CTCs sequenced, resulting in a KRAS mutation detection rate of 27.7%. Importantly, KRAS mutations were never found in the 103 white blood cells sequenced. Sequencing of groups of cells containing between 1 and 100 cells determined that at least 10 CTCs are likely required to reliably assess KRAS mutation status from CTCs.

Current clinicopathologic staging systems and serum biomarkers poorly discriminate tumor biology in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), with high recurrence rates following curative-intent surgical resection and liver transplantation (LT). Identification of accurate biomarkers for improved prognostication and treatment selection is a critical unmet need. We sought to develop a novel "liquid-biopsy" assay capable of detecting HCC circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and characterizing phenotypic subpopulations with prognostic significance. Using HCC cell lines, a tissue microarray, and human blood samples, an antibody cocktail targeting the cell-surface markers asialoglycoprotein receptor (ASGPR), glypican-3, and epithelial cell adhesion molecule was optimized for HCC CTC capture using the NanoVelcro CTC Assay. The ability of HCC CTCs and vimentin (VIM)-positive CTCs (a subpopulation expressing an epithelial-to-mesenchymal phenotype) to accurately discriminate tumor stage, recurrence, progression, and overall survival (OS) was evaluated in a prospective study of 80 patients. Multimarker capture detected greater numbers of CTCs than any individual antibody alone for both cell line and patient samples (P < 0.001). HCC CTCs were identified in 59/61 (97%) patients, and HCC (median, 6 CTCs) and non-HCC patients (median, 1 CTC; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] = 0.92; P < 0.001; sensitivity = 84.2%; specificity = 88.5%) were accurately discriminated. VIM-positive CTCs accurately discriminated early-stage, LT eligible patients (median, 0 CTCs) from locally advanced/metastatic, LT ineligible patients (median, 6 CTCs; AUROC = 0.89; P = 0.001; sensitivity = 87.1%; specificity = 90.0%), and predicted OS for all patients (hazard ratio [HR], 2.21; P = 0.001), and faster recurrence after curative-intent surgical or locoregional therapy in potentially curable early-stage HCC (HR, 3.14; P = 0.002). In conclusion, we developed a novel multimarker CTC enrichment assay that detects HCC CTCs with high efficiency and accuracy. A phenotypic subpopulation of VIM-positive CTCs appears to signify the presence of aggressive underlying disease and occult metastases and may have important implications for treatment selection. Liver Transplantation 24 946-960 2018 AASLD.