Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens.
- Author(s): Lloyd-Smith, James O
- Funk, Sebastian
- McLean, Angela R
- Riley, Steven
- Wood, James LN
- et al.
Published Web Locationhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436514000504
Studying the emergence of novel infectious agents involves many processes spanning host species, spatial scales, and scientific disciplines. Mathematical models play an essential role in combining insights from these investigations and drawing robust inferences from field and experimental data. We describe nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the interface between models and data.