Most modern I/O systems treat each file access independently. However, events in a computer system are driven by programs. Thus, accesses to files occur in consistent patterns and are by no means independent. The result is that modern I/O systems ignore useful information. Using traces of file system activity we show that file accesses are strongly correlated with preceding accesses. In fact, a simple last-successor model (one that predicts each file access will be followed by the same file that followed the last time it was accessed) successfully predicted the next file 72% of the time. We examine the ability of two previously proposed models for file access prediction in comparison to this baseline model and see a stark contrast in accuracy and high overheads in state space. We then enhance one of these models to address the issues of model space requirements. This new model is able to improve an additional 10% on the accuracy of the last-successor model, while working within a state space that is within a constant factor (relative to the number of files) of the last-successor model. While this work was motivated by the use of file relationships for I/O prefetching, information regarding the likelihood of file access patterns has several other uses such as disk layout and file clustering for disconnected operation.