The three-dimensional global distribution of OH over a year is calculated as a function of temperature, ultraviolet irradiance, and densities of H2O, CO, O3, CH4, and NOt, (defined as NO + NO2 + NO3 + 2N2O5 + HNO2 + HNO4). The concentration of OH is computed within a chemical tracer model (CTM) with an accuracy comparable to that of a detailed photochemical model. Distributions of CO, NOt, O3, CH4, and the density of O3 column were specified on the basis of observations. Meteorological fields were derived from the general circulation model developed at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies. The numerical method for parametrization of chemistry is described inSpivakovsky et al. (this issue). The CTM is used to simulate the global distribution of CH3CCl3. The computed distribution of OH implies a lifetime of 5.5 years for CH3CCl3 (obtained by relating the global burden of CH3CCl3 to the global loss, integrated using simulated three-dimensional distributions). Analysis of the long-term trend in CH3CCl3 as defined by observations suggests a lifetime of 6.2 years (consistent with Prinn et al. (1987)), indicating that model levels of OH may be too high by about 13%. This estimate for the lifetime depends on industry data for global emissions and on the absolute calibration of observations. It is argued that seasonal variations of CH3CCl3 provide an independent test for computed OH fields that is insensitive to the uncertainties in the budget of CH3CCl3. The annual cycle of CH3CCl3 from about 25°S to the South Pole is dominated by seasonal changes in OH. Observed seasonal variations of CH3CCl3indicate that the OH field south of 20°S±4° should be scaled by 0.75±0.25 from computed values, consistent with the result based on long-term trends. Reactions involving non-methane hydrocarbons were not included in the current model. These reactions could account for lower concentrations of OH than computed. Seasonal variations of CH3CCl3 in the tropics and in the northern mid-latitudes are dominated by effects of transport. If use of CH3CCl3 is phased out (as envisioned by the Montreal protocol), the dynamically driven seasonal variations of CH3CCl3 will decrease dramatically, whereas the chemically driven variations will remain proportional to the concentration of CH3CCl3; then the annual cycle of CH3CCl3 in northern mid-latitudes will provide a measure of OH as does at present the annual cycle in southern mid-latitudes. The influence of chemistry on the latitudinal distribution of CH3CCl3 is small and at present does not provide a constraint for the globally averaged OH or for the latitudinal distribution of OH. However, if emissions of CH3CCl3 were to cease, the tropical depression in the concentration of CH3CCl3 caused by high levels of OH in the tropics may provide an additional means to test OH models.
The equations which determine partitioning of Clx in steady state have multiple (three) solutions under conditions which might arise in the high-latitude winter stratosphere. Two of these solutions are stable, one is unstable, to infinitesimal perturbations. The relative stability of solutions is examined by subjecting the system to finite perturbations. The more stable solution is found to eliminate the less stable when semi-infinite volumes of the two solutions are placed in contact. The high-ClO, low-NO2 solution is more stable under most conditions. Transitions from less to more stable states are slow in winter but may occur more rapidly when the seasonal variation of insolation is taken into account.
It is shown that the equations describing chemical partitioning among Clx (HCl, Cl, ClO, ClNO3), NOt (NO, NO2, NO3, N2O5, HNO2, ClNO3) and HOx (OH, HO2) may admit multiple solutions. These solutions apply to the high latitude winter stratosphere where abrupt spatial variations may be expected for NO2, ClO and ClNO3.
A global climatological distribution of tropospheric OH is computed using observed distributions of O3, H2O, NOt (NO2 +NO + 2N2O5 + NO3 + HNO2 +HNO4), CO, hydrocarbons, temperature, and cloud optical depth. Global annual mean OH is 1.16×106 molecules cm−3(integrated with respect to mass of air up to 100 hPa within ±32° latitude and up to 200 hPa outside that region). Mean hemispheric concentrations of OH are nearly equal. While global mean OH increased by 33% compared to that from Spivakovsky et al. [1990], mean loss frequencies of CH3CCl3 and CH4 increased by only 23% because a lower fraction of total OH resides in the lower troposphere in the present distribution. The value for temperature used for determining lifetimes of hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) by scaling rate constants [Prather and Spivakovsky, 1990] is revised from 277 K to 272 K. The present distribution of OH is consistent within a few percent with the current budgets of CH3CCl3 and HCFC-22. For CH3CCl3, it results in a lifetime of 4.6 years, including stratospheric and ocean sinks with atmospheric lifetimes of 43 and 80 years, respectively. For HCFC-22, the lifetime is 11.4 years, allowing for the stratospheric sink with an atmospheric lifetime of 229 years. Corrections suggested by observed levels of CH2Cl2 (annual means) depend strongly on the rate of interhemispheric mixing in the model. An increase in OH in the Northern Hemisphere by 20% combined with a decrease in the southern tropics by 25% is suggested if this rate is at its upper limit consistent with observations of CFCs and 85Kr. For the lower limit, observations of CH2Cl2 imply an increase in OH in the Northern Hemisphere by 35% combined with a decrease in OH in the southern tropics by 60%. However, such large corrections are inconsistent with observations for 14CO in the tropics and for the interhemispheric gradient of CH3CCl3. Industrial sources of CH2Cl2 are sufficient for balancing its budget. The available tests do not establish significant errors in OH except for a possible underestimate in winter in the northern and southern tropics by 15–20% and 10–15%, respectively, and an overestimate in southern extratropics by ∼25%. Observations of seasonal variations of CH3CCl3, CH2Cl2,14CO, and C2H6 offer no evidence for higher levels of OH in the southern than in the northern extratropics. It is expected that in the next few years the latitudinal distribution and annual cycle of CH3CCl3 will be determined primarily by its loss frequency, allowing for additional constraints for OH on scales smaller than global.
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