Freshwater from precipitation is an indispensable resource for life
and a driver for many biological and geological processes. In this
dissertation we present four papers and an investigation in progress
using conventional and multiscale global climate models with the
long term goal of understanding the physical mechanisms responsible
for the observed precipitation trends and distributions. We use the
multiscale model because, in contrast to conventional models, it has
an explicit treatment of cloud and precipitation processes. We test
the hypothesis that the multiscale approach should, in principle,
generate more realistic estimates of tracer concentration and
convective precipitation fields which are known to be sensitive to
cloud-scale physical processes.
Atmospheric convection associated or not with precipitation produces
vertical transport of surface-emitted compounds which can then affect
convection itself, and hence precipitation, by altering the atmospheric
radiative budget or through cloud microphysical processes. In two
papers we evaluate the multiscale method on simulating the global
transport of passive tracers and dust contrasting model outputs and
in situ observations. We force our climate simulations with
observationally derived meteorology. Therefore we can attribute the
differences between the multiscale and the conventional methods to the
differences in vertical transport. The multiscale model simulates
realistic atmospheric concentrations of passive tracers and is, to a
small degree, better than the conventional model in the lower and
upper troposphere. Comparing global maps of passive tracers and dust
from simulations, we find that the multiscale model simulates higher
concentrations in the upper troposphere. This characteristic should
emerge from the overall more efficient vertical transport from
synthetic thermals in the explicit cloud treatment.
We evaluate the multiscale model and a group of the latest versions of
standard climate models on the intensity distribution of
precipitation. In two papers we focus our analysis on sub-daily
precipitation for a highly convective region and contrast model output
with observationally derived precipitation rates. The multiscale model
greatly improves the simulation of convective precipitation
distribution with respect to its conventional counterpart. A comparison
of the precipitation efficiency between the two models suggests that
the improvement should be due to the higher rate of production of cloud
water from vertical advection from the multiscale model as opposed to
the rate of conversion of cloud water to precipitation from cloud
microphysical processes. Extending the analysis of the precipitation
intensity distribution to other state of the art climate models, we
find that the models which implement mechanisms for inhibiting
convective precipitation at low level of instability are more
realistic.
We present work in progress where the multiscale model is the
tool of choice for understanding the physical processes responsible
for the observed precipitation trends in the region of the Indian
monsoon and for attributing these trends to anthropogenic aerosol
emissions. In addition to the realistic representation of convection and
transport, the multiscale model can simulate better than other models
the intraseasonal precipitation variability thought to be important
for the dynamics of the monsoon.