This paper introduces a predictive modeling framework for GPU performance. The key innovation underlying this approach is that performance statistics collected from representative workloads running on current generation GPUs can effectively predict the performance of next-generation GPUs. This is useful when simulators are available for the next-generation device, but simulation times are exorbitant, rendering early design space exploration of microarchitectural parameters and other features infeasible. When predicting performance across three Intel GPU generations (Haswell, Broadwell, Skylake), our models achieved impressively low out-of-sample-errors ranging from 7.45% to 8.91%, while running 29 481 to 44 214 times faster than cycle-accurate simulations. A detailed ranking of the most impactful features selected for these models provides an insight as to which microarchitectural subsystems have the greatest impact on performance from one generation to the next.

This paper presents a predictive modeling framework for GPU performance. The key innovation underlying this approach is that performance statistics collected from representative workloads running on current generation GPUs can effectively predict the performance of next-generation GPUs. This is useful when simulators are available for the next-generation device, but simulation times are exorbitant, rendering early design space exploration of microarchitectural parameters and other features infeasible. When predicting performance across three Intel GPU generations (Haswell, Broadwell, Skylake), our models achieved low out-of-sample-errors ranging from 7.45% to 8.91%, while running 30,000-45,000 times faster than cycle-Accurate simulation.

This paper introduces a predictive modeling framework to estimate the performance of GPUs during presilicon design. Early-stage performance prediction is useful when simulation times impede development by rendering driver performance validation, API conformance testing and design space explorations infeasible. Our approach builds a Random Forest regression model to analyze DirectX 3D workload behavior when executed by a software rasterizer, which we have extended with a workload characterizer to collect further performance information via program counters. In addition to regression models, this work produces detailed feature rankings which can provide valuable architectural insight, and accurate performance estimates for an Intel integrated Skylake generation GPU. Our models achieve reasonable out-of-sample-error rates of 14%, with an average simulation speedup of 327x.