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Spatial Factor Modeling: A BayesianMatrix-Normal Approach for Misaligned Data

Abstract

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences.Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture anyunderlying spatial association for each variable and associations among the different dependent variables.Multivariate latent spatial process models have proved effective in driving statistical inference andrendering better predictive inference at arbitrary locations for the spatial process. High-dimensionalmultivariate spatial data, which is the theme of this article, refers to data sets where the number of spatiallocations and the number of spatially dependent variables is very large. The field has witnessed substantialdevelopments in scalable models for univariate spatial processes, but such methods for multivariate spatialprocesses, especially when the number of outcomes is moderately large, are limited in comparison. Here,we extend scalable modeling strategies for a single process to multivariate processes. We pursue Bayesianinference which is attractive for full uncertainty quantification of the latent spatial process. Our approachexploits distribution theory for the Matrix-Normal distribution, which we use to construct scalableversions of a hierarchical linear model of coregionalization (LMC) and spatial factor models that deliverinference over a high-dimensional parameter space including the latent spatial process. We illustrate thecomputational and inferential benefits of our algorithms over competing methods using simulation studiesand an analysis of a massive vegetation index dataset.

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