- Main
Essays on College Major Choice: Determinants and Centralized Mechanisms
- Ekbatani, Sepehr
- Advisor(s): von Wachter, Till Marco;
- Pinto, Rodrigo
Abstract
This dissertation contains three essays in applied microeconomics. The first chapter evaluates
the welfare costs induced by limiting the number of choices in deferred acceptance
mechanisms. I show that when the number of choices is capped, some students have to be
strategic and that increasing the size of the submittable list can result in better matches,
and therefore lead to welfare improvement. I use Iranian college entrance dataset to estimate
a novel discrete choice model for centralized university systems, in which I relax the
independence of unobserved preference shocks assumption. I validate the model with out of sample data from a quasi-experimental policy change, in which the list cap was increased
by 50 percent. In my counterfactual analysis, I calculate that a list cap of 10 choices instead
of 100 would incur a 14.2 percent welfare loss. This is equivalent to a 453 km increase in
the home-university distance, which is 2.6 times the average distance traveled by Iranian
students. I also show that a more restrictive list cap does not affect students at the top and
bottom of the ranking, but hurts students with average scores and benefits students in the
lower quartile. In the second chapter, I use the aforementioned dataset to find determinants
of major choice. I estimate a rank ordered logit model of major choice and show that labor
market variables, specifically earnings and unemployment play a significant role in choice
of majors by students. The model shows that students prefer majors with higher expected
income and expected employment rate. This study also suggests that many students care more about the school they are applying to, rather than the major. Several explanations is
possible, for example prestige of some schools might be one reason. Credit constraints that
families face or the cultural barriers might also play a role for those students who prefer to
stay in their hometown even at the price of studying a major they are not very interested
in. Finally, in the third chapter I use neural networks to predict the number of quarters
that it takes a student with certain characteristics to graduate from UCLA. I also define a
survival model, in such those who did graduate before sixth year were survivors and those
who couldn't were the failures.
Main Content
Enter the password to open this PDF file:
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-