- Main
Essays in Labor Economics and Econometric Methods
- Johnston, Carla
- Advisor(s): Card, David
Abstract
The impact of a subsidy or transfer depends greatly on the market forces surrounding
the economic actors who receive them. This dissertation contributes to the field of labor eco-
nomics by shedding light on two under-studied, but widely dispersed, government subsidies.
These subsidies are the tax exemptions given to nonprofit firms and the Earned Income Tax
Credit (EITC) issued to low-income households. Although one of these subsidies is given to
a firm and the other to a consumer, both aim to alleviate the low capital burdens for under-
served populations. The first chapter examines the effect of a firm’s nonprofit tax status
on workers’ wages using the universe of quarterly wage records from the state of Florida.
The second chapter investigates market effects for a large durable good during the issuance
months of the EITC. The third chapter presents a theoretical model that improves partial
effects estimation for ordered outcome variables, which are often variables of interest in em-
pirical questions of this sphere. This is particularly the case when using publicly available,
binned data.
In the first chapter I explore the nonprofit earnings penalty. To separate the influ-
ence of demand and supply, I leverage workers who change employers in administrative tax
data. The average nonprofit worker earns 5.5 percent less than the average for-profit worker.
Supply-side factors (worker selection) contribute 80 percent of the nonprofit differential.
The remaining 20 percent is from demand (a nonprofit penalty). Within-worker nonprofit
variation generates several insights about the influence of nonprofits on the labor market.
Nonprofits compress the wage distribution and reduce inequality among earners. Nonprofit
penalties are much more pronounced in classic charities than in “commercial” nonprofits,
which sometimes exhibit nonprofit premia. This study is the first to harness administrative
wage records, rather than survey data, to estimate the nonprofit earnings penalty. This
study is also the first to show serious misreporting issues in survey data which could bias
results.
The second chapter of my dissertation uses Texas DMV vehicle registration records to
precisely estimate quantity and price effects for used car sales in the weeks following the
issuance of the EITC. I use a difference in difference framework taking advantage of the act that most EITC returns are issued in February and March, and that the share of the
population receiving the EITC varies greatly across zipcodes. I find that for a zipcode with
the average EITC population share (20 percent), used car sales increase by 33.3 percent. I
find little movement in prices. I conclude that the timing of the EITC return does not result
in a large loss of incidence for the consumer, despite the large increase in demand for used
cars. This is the first study to examine price effects, in addition to consumption effects, of
the EITC.
My first two chapters address wage and price effects of subsidies using empirical appli-
cations. My third chapter presents a theoretical advancement in methods used to recover
partial effects that are of interest in this field of economics. Often outcome variables of
interest such as income, are binned, resulting in “ordered” outcomes. I present an ordered
response model that relaxes rigid distributional assumptions, allowing for less biased and
more consistent estimators. This model allows for flexibility gains while still being tractable
and easy to implement for the applied researcher.
Main Content
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