While targeted therapies exist for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive (HER2 +) breast cancer, HER2 + patients do not always respond to therapy. We present the results of utilizing a biophysical mathematical model to predict tumor response for two HER2 + breast cancer patients treated with the same therapeutic regimen but who achieved different treatment outcomes. Quantitative data from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and ⁶⁴Cu-DOTA-trastuzumab positron emission tomography (PET) are used to estimate tumor density, perfusion, and distribution of HER2-targeted antibodies for each individual patient. MRI and PET data are collected prior to therapy, and follow-up MRI scans are acquired at a midpoint in therapy. Given these data types, we align the data sets to a common image space to enable model calibration. Once the model is parameterized with these data, we forecast treatment response with and without HER2-targeted therapy. By incorporating targeted therapy into the model, the resulting predictions are able to distinguish between the two different patient responses, increasing the difference in tumor volume change between the two patients by > 40%. This work provides a proof-of-concept strategy for processing and integrating PET and MRI modalities into a predictive, clinical-mathematical framework to provide patient-specific predictions of HER2 + treatment response.

Background

The objective of this study was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of nab-paclitaxel, trastuzumab, and pertuzumab as neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 HER2+ breast cancer (HER2+ BC) to determine pathologic complete response (pCR), invasive disease-free survival (iDFS), and overall survival.

Methods

Forty-five patients with HER2+ BC Stages II-III were to be enrolled from 2013 to 2017. Patients were treated with weekly nab-paclitaxel (100 mg/m² intravenously), weekly trastuzumab (4 mg/kg loading dose, then 2 mg/kg), and six cycles of pertuzumab (840 mg loading dose, then 420 mg intravenously day 1 every 21 days).

Results

Median follow-up was 60 months (95% CI, 32.3-55.6) and pCR was 29/45 (64%). The 5-year iDFS for patients who achieved pCR (N = 29) was 96.3% (95% CI, 76.5-99.5) and non-pCR patients (N = 16) was 74.3% (95% CI, 39.1-91.0). The 5-year overall survival (N = 45) was 94.1% (95% CI, 77.6-98.5). Based on hormonal status, the 5-year iDFS for HR+ pCR patients (N = 14) was 92.3% (95% CI, 56.6-98.9) and for HR- (N = 15) was 100% (p = .3).

Conclusions

This anthracycline/carboplatin-free regimen with nab-paclitaxel achieved a pCR rate of 64% in patients with HER2+ BC. The 5-year iDFS in patients with and without pCR was 96.3% and 74.3%, respectively. The pCR rate is comparable with docetaxel, carboplatin, trastuzumab, and pertuzumab therapy in the NAT setting, but with fewer treatment-associated toxicities. This finding suggests the possibility of safe avoidance of anthracyclines and carboplatin as components of NAT in patients with HER2+ BC.