UC San Diego
The double power law in consumption and implications for testing Euler equations
- Author(s): Toda, AA
- Walsh, K
- et al.
Published Web Locationhttps://doi.org/10.1086/682729
© 2015 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved. We provide evidence suggesting that the cross-sectional distributions of US consumption and its growth rate obey the power law in both the upper and lower tails, with exponents approximately equal to four. Consequently, high-order moments are unlikely to exist, and the generalized method of moments estimation of Euler equations that employs cross-sectional moments may be inconsistent. Through bootstrap studies, we find that the power law appears to generate spurious nonrejection of heterogeneous-agent asset pricing models in explaining the equity premium. Dividing households into age groups, we propose an estimation approach that appears less susceptible to fat tail issues.