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Open Access Publications from the University of California

A Vehicle Usage Forecasting Model Based on Revealed and Stated Vehicle Type Choice and Utilization Data

Abstract

This research describes a new model of household vehicle usage behavior by type of vehicle. Forecasts of future vehicle emissions, including potential gains that might be attributed to introductions of alternative-fuel (clean-fuel) vehicles, critically depend upon the ability to forecast vehicle miles traveled by the fuel type, body style and size, and vintage of the vehicle.

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