Skip to main content
Open Access Publications from the University of California

Model independent expansion history from supernovae: Cosmology versus systematics


We examine the Pantheon supernovae distance data compilation in a model independent analysis to test the validity of cosmic history reconstructions beyond the concordance CDM cosmology. Strong deviations are allowed by the data at z 1 in the reconstructed Hubble parameter, Om diagnostic, and dark energy equation of state. We explore three interpretations: 1) possibility of the true cosmology being far from CDM, 2) supernovae property evolution, and 3) survey selection effects. The strong (and theoretically problematic) deviations at z 1 vanish and good consistency with CDM is found with a simple Malmquist-like linear correction. The adjusted data is robust against the model independent iterative smoothing reconstruction. However, we caution that while by eye the original deviation from CDM is striking, χ2 tests do not show the extra linear correction parameter is statistically significant, and a model-independent Gaussian Process regression does not find significant evidence for the need for correction at high-redshifts.

Main Content
For improved accessibility of PDF content, download the file to your device.
Current View