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A rational analysis of marketing strategies

Abstract

Rational accounts of decision-making are incompatible withthe prevalence and success of ubiquitous marketing strategies.In this paper, we demonstrate, using computational experi-ments, how an ideal Bayesian observer model of preferencelearning is compatible with the manipulation of purchasingdecisions via a number of well-known marketing techniques.The ability of this model to predict the effects of both famil-iar and novel marketing interventions suggests it as a plausiblecandidate theory of consumer marketing. Simultaneously, byclarifying the logic underneath the interplay between environ-mental exposure and preference distortions seen in economicdecisions, this model rationalizes the seemingly irrational sus-ceptibility of consumers to marketing.

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